Since 2004, the $40 billion USA program has had just four successes in ten tries. And the tests are highly scripted to maximize the chances of success.


Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation

Kevin,

On Tuesday, the Pentagon’s Missile Defense Agency tested a missile defense program that has cost $40 billion. The test was deemed a success, but there’s much more to the story.

Since 2004, the $40 billion program has had just four successes in ten tries. And the tests are highly scripted to maximize the chances of success. Here’s how our Executive Director John Tierney explained it in the New York Times yesterday:

“The timing and other details are provided in advance, information that no real enemy would provide. The weather and time of day are just right for an intercept. Under realistic testing conditions, the program’s success rate would almost certainly be lower.”

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Since the test, some have argued that the system is now able to shoot down a long-range North Korean missile aimed at the United States – a capability North Korea doesn’t yet have.

Philip Coyle, our Senior Science Fellow and expert on the program, firmly disagrees. Here’s what he told CNN and numerous other outlets:

“Based on its testing record, we cannot rely upon this missile defense program to protect the United States from a North Korean long-range missile.”

The Center’s analysis is based on fact-based research, not ideology. Will you donate $10 to help us further educate policymakers and the public?

Thank you for being with us.

Hazel Correa
Communications Director
Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation

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About eslkevin

I am a peace educator who has taken time to teach and work in countries such as the USA, Germany, Japan, Nicaragua, Mexico, the UAE, Kuwait, Oman over the past 4 decades.
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